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AnalysisJanuary 16, 2026

Why Batting Averages Are Declining Across MLB

Batting averages have declined significantly over recent decades as strikeout rates climb and balls in play decrease. Multiple factors drive this trend including increased velocity, better pitch design, defensive shifts, and changed approaches emphasizing power over contact. Pitchers throw harder with better breaking stuff than ever before, while hitters increasingly embrace three-true-outcomes approaches accepting strikeouts in pursuit of walks and home runs. The shift toward optimizing launch angles sometimes sacrifices contact rates for power potential. Whether declining batting averages represent a problem or simply evolution toward run-scoring efficiency remains debated.